Polymarket weather coverage
Polymarket weather markets — all 44 cities.
Pick any city. We track it through real weather stations and a 5-model ensemble (ECMWF, GFS, ICON, JMA, UKMO). When Polymarket's share price disagrees with what the daily high is actually doing, that's a mispricing — and we put a number on it every minute.
ARArgentina(1)
BRBrazil(1)
CACanada(1)
FIFinland(1)
FRFrance(1)
DEGermany(1)
INIndia(1)
IDIndonesia(1)
ILIsrael(1)
ITItaly(1)
JPJapan(1)
MYMalaysia(1)
MXMexico(1)
NLNetherlands(1)
NZNew Zealand(1)
PAPA(1)
PLPoland(1)
RURussia(1)
SGSingapore(1)
ESSpain(1)
TRTurkey(2)
TWTW(1)
GBUnited Kingdom(1)
How city pages work
Each city has the same four numbers.
- Current temperature — read from the local station, refreshed every 5 minutes.
- Daily-max so far — the running high since local midnight, the number Polymarket weather markets resolve on.
- Bias-corrected forecast— what the ensemble says the daily high will be, after adjusting for this city's known forecasting biases.
- Resolution probability — for every active Polymarket weather market on that city, the chance YES resolves true. Pro tier.